Ukraine War

Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine beginning February 2022. Involves questions of NATO expansion, nuclear deterrence, European security architecture, and the future of the rules-based international order.

Actors

People's Republic of Chinastate
  • Prolonged European war diverts US military resources, defense production capacity, and strategic attention from the Indo-Pacific and Taiwan contingencies

    derived
  • Increased access to discounted Russian oil and gas as Europe sanctions Russian energy exports - China becomes Russia's primary energy customer

    stated
  • Selectively circumventing Western sanctions on Russia through dual-use technology transfers and alternative financial channels

    derived
  • Published 12-point peace plan in February 2023, positioning China as neutral mediator while maintaining strategic partnership with Russia

    derived
European E3 (UK, France, Germany)state
  • Balancing military support for Ukraine against risk of direct NATO-Russia confrontation and nuclear escalation

    stated
  • War exposed European dependence on US security umbrella, accelerating discussions on European defense integration and increased military spending

    derived
  • Severing economic ties with Russia - energy diversification, sanctions enforcement, and absorption of economic costs from decoupling

    derived
  • Russian nuclear threats against Ukraine test the credibility of the entire European security architecture and nuclear deterrence framework

    stated
NATOorganization
  • Deterring Russian territorial ambitions beyond Ukraine - reinforced Eastern flank with battlegroups in Baltics, Poland, Romania, and Bulgaria

    stated
  • Alliance credibility tested by whether it can sustain support for a non-member under attack without triggering Article 5 commitments

    stated
  • Carefully calibrating weapons deliveries and intelligence sharing to avoid crossing Russian red lines that could trigger direct NATO-Russia conflict

    stated
  • War validated NATO's core purpose - Finland and Sweden's rapid accession demonstrates renewed alliance relevance after decades of existential questioning

    derived
Russian Federationstate
  • Deepened military cooperation with Iran (Shahed drones), North Korea (artillery shells, ballistic missiles), and China (dual-use technology) to sustain the war

    stated
  • Prolonged war tests Western resolve and diverts US strategic attention and defense spending away from the Indo-Pacific

    derived
  • Invasion intended to prevent further NATO expansion eastward - instead triggered Finland and Sweden's accession, expanding NATO's border with Russia

    stated
  • Weaponized European energy dependence on Russian gas - Nord Stream disruption and supply cuts used as economic pressure on European war support

    derived
  • Framing the war as resistance to Western-backed regime change in Russia's sphere of influence and defense of Russian-speaking populations

    derived
Ukrainian Governmentstate
  • Restore control over Crimea (annexed 2014), Donetsk, Luhansk, Zaporizhzhia, and Kherson oblasts occupied since 2022 full-scale invasion

    stated
  • Secure NATO membership or binding security guarantees that prevent future Russian invasion - central demand at all peace negotiations

    stated
  • Maintain flow of Western weapons (HIMARS, F-16s, Leopard 2s, air defense systems) and financial aid essential to sustaining the war effort

    stated
  • EU candidate status granted June 2022 - pursuing full membership as anchor for post-war economic reconstruction and Western alignment

    stated
US Defense Industrylobby
  • Massive sustained procurement: Javelin missiles, HIMARS rockets, 155mm artillery shells, Patriot interceptors, and Stinger missiles at wartime production rates

    derived
  • Russian invasion validates threat assessments underpinning high defense budgets and justifies accelerated weapons modernization programs

    derived
  • European NATO allies dramatically increasing defense spending (Germany's 100B euro special fund) - driving orders for US and allied defense platforms

    derived
  • Wartime demand exposes defense industrial base capacity limits, justifying Congressional investment in expanded production facilities

    stated
US Governmentstate
  • Supporting Ukraine demonstrates US commitment to allies and the principle that territorial conquest by force will not be tolerated

    stated
  • Massive military aid packages ($175B+ since 2022) and NATO force posture adjustments demonstrate US ability to sustain a proxy conflict

    stated
  • Ukraine gave up nuclear weapons under the 1994 Budapest Memorandum in exchange for security assurances - failure to defend Ukraine undermines nonproliferation incentives

    stated
  • War disrupted European energy markets, accelerating European shift away from Russian gas toward US LNG exports

    stated

41 positions

Politicians

JB
Joe Biden

Russia's invasion of Ukraine is a flagrant violation of the international order that every nation depends on. The United States and our allies will stand with Ukraine for as long as it takes. This is not just about Ukraine - it is about whether the principles of sovereignty and territorial integrity mean anything. If we let Putin redraw borders by force, every would-be aggressor on Earth gets the message that conquest works.

TG
Tulsi Gabbard

What's happening in Ukraine is a tragedy. But let's be honest about what's really going on. This is a proxy war between the United States and Russia, fought with Ukrainian blood. NATO expansion to Russia's border provoked this conflict, and now we're pouring weapons into a war that risks nuclear escalation while telling the American people it's about democracy. It's not. It's about the same Washington foreign policy establishment that gave us Iraq, Libya, and Syria.

LG
Lindsey Graham

The Russians are dying. It's the best money we've ever spent. We should give Ukraine everything it needs to win. This is about defending the rules-based international order and showing the world that aggression doesn't pay.

NH
Nikki Haley

If we let Putin take Ukraine, China takes Taiwan the next day. This is about American credibility. When America is strong, the world is safer.

RJ
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

This war was provoked. We promised Gorbachev that NATO would not move one inch eastward, and then we moved it a thousand miles eastward to Russia's border. The neocons and the intelligence agencies and the military-industrial complex wanted this war. My uncle had the courage to negotiate with Khrushchev during the Cuban Missile Crisis when the world was on the brink. We need that kind of leadership now, not more weapons and more escalation.

MR
Marco Rubio

What Russia did to Ukraine is wrong and we should support Ukraine's ability to defend itself. But we also have to be realistic. This cannot be an open-ended commitment with no strategy and no accountability. We need our European allies to step up and carry more of the burden, and we need a clear-eyed assessment of what a realistic outcome looks like.

BS
Bernie Sanders

I voted for Ukraine aid because Putin's invasion is a clear violation of international law. But I am deeply concerned about the lack of oversight, the blank check approach, and the absence of any diplomatic strategy. We need an endgame.

DT
Donald Trump

This war should have never happened, and it would not have happened if I were president. I will have it settled before I even take office. We need to stop sending billions to Ukraine and make a deal. Both sides need to make concessions. We're giving away money we don't have while our own country falls apart.

JV
JD Vance

I don't think it's in America's interest to continue to fund a war that I don't think can be won. Ukraine is not a vital US interest. Europe should be defending Europe.

Network Media

SC
Stephen Colbert

This is not complicated. A democracy was invaded by an authoritarian dictator who wants to erase it from the map. Ukraine is fighting for the same things we say we believe in - freedom, self-determination, the right to choose your own government. And some people want to abandon them because it's inconvenient? The isolationists who want to cut off Ukraine aren't being pragmatic. They're being useful idiots for Vladimir Putin.

JK
Jimmy Kimmel

Zelensky came to Congress and asked for help defending his country from a dictator who is literally bombing hospitals and playgrounds. And there are members of Congress who voted no. I don't know how you vote no on that. Putin is a thug. He's a murderer. And the idea that we shouldn't help the people he's murdering because it costs too much - I mean, what are we even doing here?

PM
Piers Morgan

Zelensky was elected with 74% of the vote. The only reason there hasn't been another election is because Russia invaded. Anyone telling you Ukraine's democracy is illegitimate while defending Putin's right to annex sovereign territory has lost the plot entirely.

JO
John Oliver

Russia invaded a sovereign country, is bombing apartment buildings, kidnapping children, and committing war crimes on camera - and somehow there are people in this country who think the real problem is that we're spending too much on javelins. Ukraine didn't ask for this war. They're fighting it because the alternative is ceasing to exist as a nation. The least we can do - the absolute bare minimum - is give them the weapons to defend themselves, and maybe do it before another city gets leveled.

JS
Jon Stewart

Of course we should help Ukraine. Russia invaded them. That's bad. I feel like I shouldn't have to explain that. But can we also maybe have a conversation about where the money's going? Because we've sent a hundred billion dollars and every time someone asks 'hey, can we see the receipts,' they get called a Putin puppet. That's not accountability, that's a protection racket. You can support Ukraine AND ask questions. Those aren't mutually exclusive. I know Washington has trouble with 'and,' but the rest of us can handle it.

Independent Media

AO
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Ukraine has every right to defend itself and we should support that. But I'm not going to vote for a blank check with no oversight, no conditions, and no diplomatic strategy. Where is the plan? Where are the audits? Working people are being told we can't afford childcare but we can send $60 billion overseas without a hearing. Support Ukraine, yes - but with accountability and a path to peace.

AB
Aaron Bastani

Russia's invasion is indefensible - let me be clear about that. But the idea that NATO expansion had nothing to do with this is historically illiterate. The West spent thirty years ignoring every warning, expanding a Cold War military alliance to Russia's doorstep, and then acted shocked when the predictable happened. You can oppose the invasion AND oppose the NATO expansionism that made it inevitable. The double standard is staggering - sovereignty is sacred when it's Ukraine, but not when it's Iraq or Libya or Palestine.

BB
Brian Berletic

Ukraine is a US proxy war against Russia that the West is systematically losing. Western media maintains a 'Ukraine is winning' narrative that has no factual basis - use the West's own sources, including Pentagon briefings, and the picture is clear: Russia has escalation dominance, industrial superiority, and strategic patience. Ukrainian-held positions in Donbass face collapse as supply lines are disrupted by steady Russian advances.

TC
Tucker Carlson

Why should Americans care about the borders of Ukraine when we can't even secure our own border? This is not our war. Ukraine is one of the most corrupt countries on the planet, and our leaders want to send your tax dollars there instead of fixing our own country.

DB
Destiny (Steven Bonnell)

If we let Putin take Ukraine, every dictator on the planet gets the message that conquest works. This isn't just about Ukraine - it's about whether the rules-based international order means anything. You either defend sovereignty or you don't.

JD
Jimmy Dore

This is a proxy war and everybody knows it. The United States provoked this by pushing NATO to Russia's border, overthrew Ukraine's government in 2014, and now we're sending billions to the most corrupt country in Europe while our own cities crumble. Raytheon is making a fortune. Ukrainians are dying. And anyone who points this out gets called a Russian agent. The defense industry owns our foreign policy and Ukraine is their latest cash cow. We should be negotiating peace, not laundering money through Kyiv.

NF
Nick Fuentes

Not our problem. Not our war. Not one more dollar for Zelensky's corrupt regime. America First means we take care of Americans, not launder money through the most corrupt country in Europe.

GG
Glenn Greenwald

The media coverage of Ukraine is a masterclass in propaganda. Dissenting voices are censored, labeled Russian agents, and deplatformed. The same institutional machinery that manufactured consent for Iraq is manufacturing consent for a proxy war with a nuclear power.

JH
Jackson Hinkle

Russia is denazifying Ukraine. NATO is the aggressor. This is the beginning of the end of American empire. The multipolar world is being born in Ukraine, and BRICS will replace the dollar as the global reserve currency. Russia is on the right side of history.

AK
Ana Kasparian

I'm not going to pretend I don't care about Ukrainians - I do. But I also care about Americans who can't afford healthcare, who are drowning in student debt, whose roads and bridges are falling apart. At some point you have to ask: why is there always money for foreign wars but never for us? I want a real conversation about priorities, not moral blackmail.

KK
Konstantin Kisin

I feel shame for my birth country Russia, and my family in Ukraine is being bombarded. Ukraine has fought courageously for three years. But the military reality is that Ukraine is not going to make any more forward progress. The current US administration will not provide the hardware they need, and Europe cannot fill the gap. It is time to negotiate - not because Ukraine deserves less, but because more fighting will only produce more dead Ukrainians for the same outcome.

AM
Alexander Mercouris

The Western narrative about Ukraine winning is a fantasy sustained by media that refuses to report the military reality on the ground. Russia has escalation dominance, industrial capacity, and strategic patience. NATO expansion caused this conflict and the only rational outcome is a negotiated settlement that acknowledges Russian security interests.

EM
Elon Musk

Ukraine-Russia Peace: redo elections of annexed regions under UN supervision, Crimea formally part of Russia as it has been since 1783, water supply to Crimea assured, Ukraine remains neutral. This is highly likely to be the outcome in the end - just a question of how many die before then.

JP
Jordan Peterson

Russia's invasion of Ukraine is an act of authoritarian aggression against a sovereign nation attempting to orient itself toward Western values and institutions. What Putin represents is the archetype of the tyrant - the individual who subordinates all of society to his will. To allow that to succeed is to signal that tyranny works, and that signal echoes everywhere.

HP
Hasan Piker

This is a US proxy war. We're sending Ukrainians to die to bleed Russia. The US doesn't care about Ukrainian sovereignty - it cares about weakening a rival. If we cared about sovereignty we wouldn't have invaded Iraq. This is about maintaining American hegemony, and Ukrainians are paying the price with their lives.

SR
Scott Ritter

Russia's military operation is going according to plan. The Western media is lying about Ukrainian victories. Russia will prevail because it has escalation dominance and the industrial capacity to sustain a long war. NATO provoked this conflict and Russia is responding rationally to an existential threat on its border.

JR
Joe Rogan

We've sent like a hundred billion dollars to Ukraine. A hundred billion dollars! Meanwhile we've got people living in tents in every city in America. We've got a border that's wide open. And nobody can even tell me what the endgame is over there. What are we doing?

DR
Dave Rubin

I was pro-Ukraine at the start - most people were. But then you start looking at the numbers, the endless spending, the corruption, Zelensky showing up to Congress in a t-shirt asking for more money. Europe should be handling this. It's their backyard. Why are we bankrupting ourselves for a country most Americans couldn't find on a map? At some point you gotta put America first.

CA
Carl Benjamin (Sargon of Akkad)

I sympathize with Ukraine but the West has no strategy and no endgame. We are sending billions in weapons with no plan for how this ends. The longer it goes on the more Ukrainians die and the more our own economies suffer. At some point you have to be honest that there is no military solution and start talking about negotiations, even if the terms are ugly.

RS
Richard Spencer

Ukraine is my number one issue. A Russian victory would be catastrophic for European civilization and the Western order that America built. The people calling themselves America First while cheerleading for Putin's empire are either useful idiots or actively working against Western interests. NATO must be preserved.

CU
Cenk Uygur

Look, Russia invading Ukraine is wrong - full stop. I supported the initial aid. But we've now sent over a hundred billion dollars to one of the most corrupt countries in Europe with almost zero accountability. Where's the diplomatic track? Where's the endgame? You can support Ukraine's right to exist AND demand that we're not just writing blank checks while our own infrastructure crumbles.

MW
Matt Walsh

I support Ukraine's sovereignty in principle, but I'm tired of being told I have to care more about Ukraine's border than our own. Why are we spending billions on Zelensky when American cities are falling apart?

Analysts

NC
Noam Chomsky

The Russian invasion is a criminal act of aggression. But it was provoked by decades of NATO expansion that any Russian government would have responded to. The rational policy is negotiation, not escalation to the brink of nuclear war.

DM
Douglas Macgregor

Ukraine has already lost. The war is over. We're pouring money into a lost cause and risking nuclear war with Russia for nothing. Any military professional can see that Ukraine cannot win a war of attrition against Russia. We need to negotiate now before this becomes a nuclear catastrophe.

JM
John Mearsheimer

The West is principally responsible for the Ukraine crisis. The taproot of the trouble is NATO expansion. The Russians made it clear at every turn that they viewed NATO expansion into Ukraine as an existential threat, and we ignored them. This is Geopolitics 101.

TP
Trita Parsi

The priority must be ending the killing, not winning the war. A negotiated settlement is the only way to stop the bloodshed and prevent nuclear escalation. Continuing to arm Ukraine without a diplomatic track risks catastrophic escalation for a war that will ultimately end at the negotiating table anyway.

NP
Neema Parvini

The Ukraine war is a consequence of liberal internationalist overreach meeting great power realities. NATO expansion was a provocation - not because Putin is justified, but because any realist analysis would have predicted this outcome. The managerial class needed a new civilizational enemy after the War on Terror wound down, and Russia obliged. Ukraine is the vehicle through which the liberal security establishment justifies its continued existence and budget.